San Lorenzo Res.vs
Unión Santa Fe Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 9/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: San Lorenzo Res. 0-0 Unión Santa Fe Res., with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
San Lorenzo Res. 0-1 Unión Santa Fe Res.
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.09 | 42.8% | 37.1% | -5.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.03 | 29.5% | 31.9% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 3.24 | 27.7% | 31.0% | 3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.4 pts
Projected Score
San Lorenzo Res. 0–0 Unión Santa Fe Res.
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.9%
Model confidence
37.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00