San Jose Earthquakesvs
Minnesota United FC
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 8/23/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Jose Earthquakes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (11%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
San Jose Earthquakes 1-5 Minnesota United FC
Original prediction
San Jose Earthquakes
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
San Jose Earthquakes
Probability
57.2%
Model confidence
57.2%
San Jose Earthquakes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
San Jose EarthquakesLLLDL
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Minnesota United FCLDWDL
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
San Jose EarthquakesMinnesota United FC
63.3Attack36.7
53.3Defence53.3
55.0Form41.7
57.1Power45.9
1.98xG0.92