San Diegovs
Seattle Sounders
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 10/25/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Diego · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
San Diego 2-2 Seattle Sounders
Original prediction
San Diego
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.20 | 42.6% | 37.4% | -5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.81 | 24.6% | 27.8% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 2.85 | 32.9% | 34.7% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.81 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
San Diego
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
San Diego has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 14 · avg 2.20/2.80
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80