San Diegovs
Los Angeles Galaxy
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 8/30/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Diego · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
San Diego 3-1 Los Angeles Galaxy
Original prediction
San Diego
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 54.0% | 55.2% | 1.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.19 | 22.4% | 21.4% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.99 | 23.6% | 23.3% | -0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.74 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
San Diego
Probability
55.2%
Model confidence
55.2%
San Diego has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80