Samtrediavs
Odishi 1919
COMPLETEDGeorgia · Erovnuli Liga 2 · 8/28/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Samtredia · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Samtredia 3-0 Odishi 1919
Original prediction
Samtredia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 43.9% | 40.2% | -3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.4% | 25.7% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.14 | 28.7% | 34.1% | 5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Samtredia
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Samtredia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40