Sampdoriavs
Juve Stabia
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie B · 8/29/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sampdoria · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sampdoria 0-0 Juve Stabia, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sampdoria 1-2 Juve Stabia
Original prediction
Sampdoria
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 50.0% | 43.0% | -7.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 28.8% | 28.6% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 4.39 | 21.2% | 28.4% | 7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.0 pts
Projected Score
Sampdoria 0–0 Juve Stabia
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Sampdoria
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Sampdoria has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SampdoriaDLWLD
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Juve StabiaLLWWW
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SampdoriaJuve Stabia
45.3Attack36.6
55.6Defence63.4
48.7Form49.6
51.9Power52.0
1.06xG0.89