Samguralivs
Dinamo Tbilisi
COMPLETEDGeorgia · Erovnuli Liga · 9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dinamo Tbilisi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Samgurali 2-3 Dinamo Tbilisi
Original prediction
Dinamo Tbilisi
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.33 | 27.1% | 21.8% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 26.8% | 22.2% | -4.6 pts |
| Away | 1.95 | 46.2% | 56.1% | 9.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.95 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Dinamo Tbilisi
Probability
56.1%
Model confidence
56.1%
Dinamo Tbilisi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00