Salford Cityvs
Crawley Town
COMPLETEDEngland · League Two · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Salford City · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Salford City 2-0 Crawley Town, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Salford City 2-1 Crawley Town
Original prediction
Salford City
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.35 | 68.4% | 69.2% | 0.8 pts |
| Draw | 5.04 | 18.4% | 18.8% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 6.99 | 13.3% | 12.0% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.8 pts
Projected Score
Salford City 2–0 Crawley Town
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Salford City
Probability
69.2%
Model confidence
69.2%
Salford City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20