Rustavivs
Dinamo Tbilisi
COMPLETEDGeorgia · Erovnuli Liga · 10/23/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Rustavi 0-0 Dinamo Tbilisi, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Rustavi 0-2 Dinamo Tbilisi
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.76 | 32.6% | 36.3% | 3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.09 | 29.1% | 30.4% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.35 | 38.3% | 33.3% | -5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.3 pts
Projected Score
Rustavi 0–0 Dinamo Tbilisi
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.4%
Model confidence
36.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RustaviWWWLW
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Dinamo TbilisiWLWWW
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
RustaviDinamo Tbilisi
41.4Attack55.2
72.4Defence63.2
59.8Form58.6
59.6Power60.0
0.98xG0.83