GGOALVIO

Georgia · Erovnuli Liga · 9/4/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rustavi · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Rustavi 0-1 Dinamo Batumi

Original prediction

Rustavi

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.4336.9%46.8%9.9 pts
Draw3.0529.4%27.3%-2.2 pts
Away2.6733.6%25.9%-7.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

9.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–014%
  2. 2.1–114%
  3. 3.0–013%

Predicted outcome

Rustavi

Probability

46.8%

Model confidence

46.8%

Rustavi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RustaviDWWWW

GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Dinamo BatumiWWWWD

GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
RustaviDinamo Batumi
43.5Attack55.1
72.5Defence53.6
60.9Form53.6
60.6Power55.1
1.32xG0.82
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