Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rustavi · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Rustavi 0-0 Dila, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Rustavi 3-1 Dila
Original prediction
Rustavi
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.41 | 37.4% | 40.4% | 2.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 29.6% | 30.9% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.73 | 33.0% | 28.7% | -4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.9 pts
Projected Score
Rustavi 0–0 Dila
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Rustavi
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Rustavi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RustaviWLWDL
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
DilaWLDWW
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
RustaviDila
39.5Attack46.9
71.6Defence63.0
56.8Form49.4
57.7Power54.5
0.95xG0.72