Rubin Yaltavs
Astrakhan
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 1 · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rubin Yalta · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Rubin Yalta 1-0 Astrakhan, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Rubin Yalta 3-1 Astrakhan
Original prediction
Rubin Yalta
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.66 | 54.7% | 56.9% | 2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 24.1% | 24.2% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 4.27 | 21.3% | 18.9% | -2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.66 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.2 pts
Projected Score
Rubin Yalta 1–0 Astrakhan
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Rubin Yalta
Probability
56.9%
Model confidence
56.9%
Rubin Yalta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Rubin YaltaLWWLL
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AstrakhanDLWDL
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Rubin YaltaAstrakhan
47.4Attack37.2
62.8Defence52.6
51.3Form35.9
54.9Power43.1
1.50xG0.73