Rotor Volgogradvs
Volga Ulyanovsk
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rotor Volgograd · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rotor Volgograd 2-2 Volga Ulyanovsk
Original prediction
Rotor Volgograd
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 47.1% | 51.3% | 4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 28.4% | 26.0% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 3.85 | 24.5% | 22.7% | -1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.31 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Rotor Volgograd
Probability
51.3%
Model confidence
51.3%
Rotor Volgograd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00