Rotor Volgogradvs
FC Sochi
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 10/16/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Sochi · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rotor Volgograd 0-1 FC Sochi
Original prediction
FC Sochi
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.57 | 36.1% | 35.3% | -0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 29.4% | 28.6% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.69 | 34.4% | 36.1% | 1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.69 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
FC Sochi
Probability
36.1%
Model confidence
36.1%
FC Sochi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00