Rotherhamvs
Shrewsbury
COMPLETEDEngland · League Two · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rotherham 3-3 Shrewsbury
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.35 | 39.5% | 36.1% | -3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.9% | 30.1% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.94 | 31.6% | 33.8% | 2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.21 · Draw 2.21 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.1%
Model confidence
36.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RotherhamDLLLL
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ShrewsburyWWLLW
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
RotherhamShrewsbury
38.9Attack36.1
44.4Defence52.8
30.6Form47.2
40.8Power48.0
1.15xG1.13