Rotherhamvs
Gillingham
COMPLETEDEngland · League Two · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rotherham · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Rotherham 0-0 Gillingham, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Rotherham 1-4 Gillingham
Original prediction
Rotherham
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 06:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 48.6% | 36.7% | -11.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 27.0% | 30.5% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 3.81 | 24.4% | 32.8% | 8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.9 pts
Projected Score
Rotherham 0–0 Gillingham
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Rotherham
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
Rotherham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RotherhamLLDDW
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
GillinghamDLLWW
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
RotherhamGillingham
40.7Attack40.7
55.6Defence66.7
37.0Form48.1
47.4Power51.9
0.91xG1.03