Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rotherham · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Rotherham 0-0 Crewe, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Rotherham 1-1 Crewe
Original prediction
Rotherham
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 09:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.05 | 45.1% | 36.7% | -8.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 26.1% | 30.2% | 4.1 pts |
| Away | 3.21 | 28.8% | 33.1% | 4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.54 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.4 pts
Projected Score
Rotherham 0–0 Crewe
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Rotherham
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
Rotherham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RotherhamWDLDD
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
CreweDDDWD
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 2/5
RotherhamCrewe
47.6Attack33.3
52.4Defence76.2
42.9Form52.4
50.6Power57.4
0.96xG0.99