Rostov IIvs
Sevastopol
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 1 · 9/26/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sevastopol · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rostov II 0-1 Sevastopol
Original prediction
Sevastopol
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 18:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.86 | 18.5% | 32.9% | 14.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 24.4% | 27.8% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 1.57 | 57.1% | 39.3% | -17.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.57 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Sevastopol
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Sevastopol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20