Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rostov II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rostov II 0-0 Druzhba
Original prediction
Rostov II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 42.3% | 50.0% | 7.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 29.6% | 26.8% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 3.20 | 28.1% | 23.3% | -4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.04 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.1–112%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Rostov II
Probability
50.0%
Model confidence
50.0%
Rostov II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Rostov IILDLWW
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
DruzhbaWLWWD
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Rostov IIDruzhba
65.3Attack45.3
68.0Defence61.3
66.7Form52.0
65.8Power53.9
1.68xG0.77