Ross Countyvs
Hearts U21
COMPLETEDScotland · Challenge Cup · 9/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ross County · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (7%), 3-2 (7%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ross County 14-0 Hearts U21
Original prediction
Ross County
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.09 | 83.5% | 60.0% | -23.4 pts |
| Draw | 8.12 | 11.2% | 18.7% | 7.5 pts |
| Away | 17.06 | 5.3% | 21.3% | 15.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.09 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-23.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–17%
- 2.3–27%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Ross County
Probability
60.0%
Model confidence
60.0%
Ross County has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 18 · GA 8 · avg 3.60/1.60
GF 15 · GA 15 · avg 3.00/3.00