Ross Countyvs
Forfar Athletic
COMPLETEDScotland · Challenge Cup · 10/13/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ross County · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 3-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ross County 2-1 Forfar Athletic
Original prediction
Ross County
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.17 | 77.5% | 66.3% | -11.2 pts |
| Draw | 6.81 | 13.3% | 18.3% | 5.0 pts |
| Away | 9.87 | 9.2% | 15.4% | 6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.17 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–010%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.3–09%
Predicted outcome
Ross County
Probability
66.3%
Model confidence
66.3%
Ross County has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 30 · GA 2 · avg 6.00/0.40
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40