Rosario Central Res.vs
Unión Santa Fe Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 9/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Rosario Central Res. 0-0 Unión Santa Fe Res., with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Rosario Central Res. 2-0 Unión Santa Fe Res.
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 44.3% | 36.2% | -8.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 28.4% | 30.9% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 3.28 | 27.3% | 32.9% | 5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.5 pts
Projected Score
Rosario Central Res. 0–0 Unión Santa Fe Res.
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.9%
Model confidence
36.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00