GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 8/27/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rosario Central Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Rosario Central Res. are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Barracas Central Res. are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Rosario Central Res. hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (53.4 v 37.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.3% in the Reserve League, while Rosario Central Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rosario Central Res.

Probability

59.9%

Model confidence

19.3%

Rosario Central Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rosario Central Res.WDWDL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Barracas Central Res.DDLDL

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Rosario Central Res.Barracas Central Res.
47.6Attack19.0
60.3Defence54.0
49.2Form30.2
53.4Power37.5
1.47xG0.51
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