Roma Wvs
Barcelona W
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Champions League Women · 9/30/2026, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barcelona W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Roma W 0-6 Barcelona W
Original prediction
Barcelona W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 24.62 | 3.8% | 27.2% | 23.4 pts |
| Draw | 12.28 | 7.5% | 21.5% | 14.0 pts |
| Away | 1.04 | 88.7% | 51.3% | -37.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.04 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-37.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Barcelona W
Probability
51.3%
Model confidence
51.3%
Barcelona W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80
GF 21 · GA 4 · avg 4.20/0.80