Roma Wvs
AC Milan W
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie A Women · 10/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Roma W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Roma W 4-2 AC Milan W
Original prediction
Roma W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 07:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.40 | 64.6% | 55.4% | -9.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.32 | 20.9% | 23.3% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 6.24 | 14.5% | 21.3% | 6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Roma W
Probability
55.4%
Model confidence
55.4%
Roma W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Roma WWLWDD
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
AC Milan WWLLWD
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Roma WAC Milan W
100.0Attack50.0
66.7Defence16.7
100.0Form50.0
91.7Power42.7
2.29xG1.09