River Plate Res.vs
Boca Juniors Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 9/25/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: River Plate Res. 0-0 Boca Juniors Res., with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
River Plate Res. 2-2 Boca Juniors Res.
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.68 | 33.1% | 32.1% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.88 | 30.8% | 32.3% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.46 | 36.1% | 35.7% | -0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.88 · Draw 1.88 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Projected Score
River Plate Res. 0–0 Boca Juniors Res.
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.3%
Model confidence
35.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60