GGOALVIO

Portugal · Primeira Liga · 8/28/2026, 7:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rio Ave · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Rio Ave are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sporting CP are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Sporting CP hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.7% in the Primeira Liga, while Rio Ave holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rio Ave

Probability

35.9%

Model confidence

13.7%

Rio Ave has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rio AveLWDWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Sporting CPDWWWW

GF 19 · GA 4 · avg 3.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Rio AveSporting CP
0.0Attack66.7
66.7Defence33.3
0.0Form33.3
23.7Power45.3
1.33xG1.32
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