Rilski Sportistvs
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
COMPLETEDBulgaria · Second League · 10/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rilski Sportist · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Rilski Sportist 0-0 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa, with an exact score probability of 29%.
Prediction record
Final result
Rilski Sportist 0-0 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
Original prediction
Rilski Sportist
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 54.7% | 47.1% | -7.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 26.8% | 33.0% | 6.2 pts |
| Away | 4.86 | 18.5% | 20.0% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.37 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.6 pts
Projected Score
Rilski Sportist 0–0 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
Exact score probability: 29%
Predicted outcome
Rilski Sportist
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
Rilski Sportist has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40