Rijnvogelsvs
Vvsb
COMPLETEDNetherlands · KNVB Beker · 9/22/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rijnvogels · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rijnvogels 0-1 Vvsb
Original prediction
Rijnvogels
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 47.6% | 44.4% | -3.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 24.5% | 24.9% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.25 | 27.9% | 30.8% | 2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Rijnvogels
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Rijnvogels has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80