Riga Marinersvs
Rēzekne FA
COMPLETEDLatvia · 1. Liga · 9/5/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Riga Mariners · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Riga Mariners 4-0 Rēzekne FA, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Riga Mariners 5-0 Rēzekne FA
Original prediction
Riga Mariners
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.07 | 86.6% | 92.8% | 6.2 pts |
| Draw | 9.97 | 9.3% | 5.3% | -4.0 pts |
| Away | 23.00 | 4.0% | 1.8% | -2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.07 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.2 pts
Projected Score
Riga Mariners 4–0 Rēzekne FA
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Riga Mariners
Probability
92.8%
Model confidence
92.8%
Riga Mariners has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Riga MarinersWWWWD
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Rēzekne FALLLLL
GF 4 · GA 17 · avg 0.80/3.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Riga MarinersRēzekne FA
74.1Attack25.9
68.5Defence0.0
75.9Form9.3
73.5Power16.6
4.50xG0.44