Riga FC IIvs
Skanste
COMPLETEDLatvia · 1. Liga · 9/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skanste · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Riga FC II 3-2 Skanste
Original prediction
Skanste
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.03 | 44.4% | 35.2% | -9.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.4% | 19.9% | -4.5 pts |
| Away | 2.88 | 31.3% | 45.0% | 13.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Skanste
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
45.0%
Skanste has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Riga FC IIDLLDL
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SkansteWDWWL
GF 17 · GA 8 · avg 3.40/1.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Riga FC IISkanste
46.3Attack68.5
37.0Defence35.2
38.9Form42.6
42.7Power47.3
1.95xG2.45