Riga FC IIvs
Leevon / PPK
COMPLETEDLatvia · 1. Liga · 9/13/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leevon / PPK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Riga FC II 1-1 Leevon / PPK
Original prediction
Leevon / PPK
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.14 | 28.5% | 19.1% | -9.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 24.5% | 18.9% | -5.6 pts |
| Away | 1.91 | 47.0% | 62.0% | 15.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.65 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.0–29%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Leevon / PPK
Probability
62.0%
Model confidence
62.0%
Leevon / PPK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80