GGOALVIO

Latvia · 1. Liga · 9/14/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Skanste · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-3 (7%), 1-3 (7%), 2-4 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Rīgas FS II 3-4 Skanste

Original prediction

Skanste

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.2440.1%26.7%-13.3 pts
Draw4.0122.4%16.9%-5.5 pts
Away2.3937.5%56.4%18.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

18.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–37%
  2. 2.1–37%
  3. 3.2–46%

Predicted outcome

Skanste

Probability

56.4%

Model confidence

56.4%

Skanste has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rīgas FS IIWLLLL

GF 8 · GA 21 · avg 1.60/4.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
SkansteLWDWW

GF 18 · GA 9 · avg 3.60/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Rīgas FS IISkanste
49.1Attack68.4
8.8Defence33.3
26.3Form40.4
28.7Power46.1
2.06xG3.50
View match centre →