Rīgas FS IIvs
JFK Ventspils
COMPLETEDLatvia · 1. Liga · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JFK Ventspils · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rīgas FS II 4-1 JFK Ventspils
Original prediction
JFK Ventspils
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.70 | 33.5% | 34.3% | 0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 24.1% | 21.7% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.13 | 42.4% | 44.0% | 1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
JFK Ventspils
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
JFK Ventspils has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 23 · avg 1.80/4.60
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80