Rentistasvs
Plaza Colonia
COMPLETEDUruguay · Copa Uruguay · 9/16/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rentistas 2-1 Plaza Colonia
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.07 | 29.4% | 35.3% | 5.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.97 | 30.4% | 29.3% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.24 | 40.2% | 35.4% | -4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
29.3%
Model confidence
35.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RentistasWWDDD
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Plaza ColoniaWWLWD
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
RentistasPlaza Colonia
33.3Attack33.3
66.7Defence66.7
33.3Form50.0
45.3Power53.0
1.27xG1.14