Nacional Floridavs
Juventud
COMPLETEDUruguay · Copa Uruguay · 10/28/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Juventud · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nacional Florida 0-2 Juventud
Original prediction
Juventud
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 October 2026 at 09:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9.60 | 9.5% | 27.7% | 18.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.96 | 18.4% | 27.4% | 9.0 pts |
| Away | 1.26 | 72.2% | 45.0% | -27.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.26 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-27.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Juventud
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
45.0%
Juventud has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40