Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santos · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Remo 1-2 Santos
Original prediction
Santos
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.82 | 33.1% | 30.2% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 28.8% | 24.6% | -4.2 pts |
| Away | 2.45 | 38.1% | 45.1% | 7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Santos
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Santos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RemoLLLLD
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
SantosLWWWD
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
RemoSantos
38.3Attack50.0
44.4Defence50.0
28.4Form44.9
39.3Power50.1
1.19xG1.57