Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Remo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Remo 1-1 Gremio
Original prediction
Remo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 September 2026 at 00:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 47.1% | 38.4% | -8.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 27.4% | 27.8% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.68 | 25.6% | 33.8% | 8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.44 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Remo
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Remo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RemoLLLLL
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
GremioDLLLW
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
RemoGremio
38.1Attack35.7
44.0Defence54.8
27.4Form34.5
38.8Power43.9
1.09xG1.11