Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Flamengo · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-3 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Remo 0-1 Flamengo
Original prediction
Flamengo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.30 | 15.0% | 10.7% | -4.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.29 | 22.1% | 18.1% | -4.0 pts |
| Away | 1.50 | 62.9% | 71.2% | 8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–214%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–310%
Predicted outcome
Flamengo
Probability
71.2%
Model confidence
71.2%
Flamengo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RemoLLDDL
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FlamengoWWLWW
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
RemoFlamengo
40.0Attack66.7
44.0Defence72.0
30.7Form68.0
40.4Power68.0
0.66xG2.22