Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
15%
MediumconfidenceRemo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Coritiba are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Coritiba hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (41.5 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Serie A, favouring a draw with 14.6% confidence, a 48% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.0%
Model confidence
14.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RemoDLDLW
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CoritibaWLDLL
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
RemoCoritiba
39.4Attack39.7
45.5Defence55.6
33.3Form42.9
41.5Power47.8
1.10xG1.21