Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Coritiba · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Remo 2-3 Coritiba
Original prediction
Coritiba
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.08 | 45.3% | 34.6% | -10.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 29.4% | 26.8% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 3.71 | 25.3% | 38.6% | 13.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.71 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Coritiba
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Coritiba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RemoLDDLD
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
CoritibaWDWLD
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
RemoCoritiba
38.9Attack41.7
45.8Defence56.9
31.9Form47.2
41.1Power50.6
1.04xG1.27