Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
O'Higgins · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Recoleta are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while O'Higgins are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and O'Higgins hold an 18.0-point power-rating edge (40.6 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.8% in the Copa Chile, while O'Higgins holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
O'Higgins
Probability
48.2%
Model confidence
11.8%
O'Higgins has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40