Real Salt Lakevs
Vancouver Whitecaps
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 9/20/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vancouver Whitecaps · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Salt Lake 0-3 Vancouver Whitecaps
Original prediction
Vancouver Whitecaps
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.05 | 23.1% | 17.0% | -6.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.99 | 23.5% | 18.9% | -4.6 pts |
| Away | 1.75 | 53.4% | 64.1% | 10.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.0–210%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Vancouver Whitecaps
Probability
64.1%
Model confidence
64.1%
Vancouver Whitecaps has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60