Real Salt Lakevs
New England Revolution
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 9/27/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New England Revolution · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Salt Lake 3-0 New England Revolution
Original prediction
New England Revolution
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 43.5% | 33.6% | -10.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 25.3% | 27.7% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 3.02 | 31.2% | 38.8% | 7.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
New England Revolution
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
New England Revolution has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40