Real Normannavs
L'Aquila
COMPLETEDItaly · Coppa Italia Serie D · 10/28/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Normanna · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Normanna 6-0 L'Aquila
Original prediction
Real Normanna
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 October 2026 at 14:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.76 | 51.8% | 38.8% | -13.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 24.3% | 27.4% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 3.83 | 23.8% | 33.8% | 10.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.76 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Real Normanna
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Real Normanna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40