Real Madrid Wvs
Paris Saint Germain W
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Champions League Women · 9/22/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Madrid W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Madrid W 1-1 Paris Saint Germain W
Original prediction
Real Madrid W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 53.6% | 44.6% | -9.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.81 | 23.6% | 24.9% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.94 | 22.8% | 30.6% | 7.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.81 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Real Madrid W
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
44.6%
Real Madrid W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40