Real Madrid Wvs
Ajax W
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Champions League Women · 9/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Madrid W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Madrid W 2-1 Ajax W
Original prediction
Real Madrid W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.11 | 81.8% | 52.8% | -29.0 pts |
| Draw | 7.80 | 11.6% | 22.6% | 10.9 pts |
| Away | 13.76 | 6.6% | 24.6% | 18.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.11 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-29.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Real Madrid W
Probability
52.8%
Model confidence
52.8%
Real Madrid W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60