Real Cundinamarcavs
Quindio
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera B · 9/21/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Real Cundinamarca 0-0 Quindio, with an exact score probability of 27%.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Cundinamarca 3-1 Quindio
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 41.7% | 30.2% | -11.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.94 | 30.8% | 33.8% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 3.29 | 27.5% | 36.0% | 8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.0 pts
Projected Score
Real Cundinamarca 0–0 Quindio
Exact score probability: 27%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.8%
Model confidence
36.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Real CundinamarcaWLWWL
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
QuindioLDDDW
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Real CundinamarcaQuindio
39.1Attack34.5
60.9Defence79.3
39.1Form58.6
48.0Power59.9
0.58xG0.77