RB Bragantinovs
Mirassol
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 10/7/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
RB Bragantino · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
RB Bragantino 1-1 Mirassol
Original prediction
RB Bragantino
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 September 2026 at 00:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 57.7% | 50.1% | -7.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.00 | 23.6% | 26.7% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 5.04 | 18.7% | 23.3% | 4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–015%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–014%
Predicted outcome
RB Bragantino
Probability
50.1%
Model confidence
50.1%
RB Bragantino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00