GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie A · 9/5/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

RB Bragantino · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: RB Bragantino 0-0 Bahia, with an exact score probability of 15%.

Prediction record

Final result

RB Bragantino 2-3 Bahia

Original prediction

RB Bragantino

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.0246.4%39.9%-6.5 pts
Draw3.4926.9%28.4%1.6 pts
Away3.5026.8%31.7%4.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-6.5 pts

Projected Score

RB Bragantino 0–0 Bahia

Exact score probability: 15%

Predicted outcome

RB Bragantino

Probability

39.9%

Model confidence

39.9%

RB Bragantino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RB BragantinoLWDDL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
BahiaWWDDD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
RB BragantinoBahia
40.3Attack49.3
65.3Defence60.0
48.6Form53.3
52.8Power56.1
1.02xG0.95
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