Rancho Santanavs
UNAN Managua
COMPLETEDNicaragua · Primera Division · 10/12/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UNAN Managua · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Rancho Santana 0-1 UNAN Managua, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Rancho Santana 1-1 UNAN Managua
Original prediction
UNAN Managua
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.93 | 31.0% | 14.0% | -17.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.1% | 22.9% | -4.1 pts |
| Away | 2.16 | 41.9% | 63.0% | 21.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.35 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
21.1 pts
Projected Score
Rancho Santana 0–1 UNAN Managua
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
UNAN Managua
Probability
63.0%
Model confidence
63.0%
UNAN Managua has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80